Search

Search results

Understanding uncertainty: ESP and the significance of significance

... This article has been adapted from material on the Understanding Uncertainty website . Is there such a thing as extra-sensory ...

Article - mf344 - 13 Dec 2012 - 11:55 - 0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: The maths of surprises

... David Spiegelhalter investigates in his regular column on uncertainty and risk. June 2008 This article is adapted from material on the Understanding Uncertainty website . A family has three children ...

Article - plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:46 - 0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: 2845 ways of spinning risk

... This article is adapted from material on the Understanding Uncertainty website . Back to the What's the best medicine ...

Article - plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:44 - 0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: What was the probability of Obama winning?

... article is adapted from material soon to appear on the Understanding Uncertainty website . On the face of it this seems an odd ...

Article - plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:45 - 0 comments

Is time travel allowed?

... away. They are a consequence of the quantum mechanical uncertainty principle : if, at one moment of time, there are no fluctuations ... To learn the truth, we physicists must develop a deeper understanding of quantum theory in warped spacetime than we now have — i.e. a ...

News - plusadmin - 23 Oct 2012 - 15:14 - 11 comments

Understanding uncertainty: The Premier League

... This is the second part of our new column on risk and uncertainty. David Spiegelhalter, Winton Professor for the Public Understanding of Risk at the University of Cambridge, continues examining ...

Article - plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:46 - 0 comments

The logic of drug testing

... decisions. The following animation (from Understanding Uncertainty ) illustrates our example. For simplicity it looks at a ...

Article - mf344 - 17 Jan 2013 - 15:13 - 4 comments

Understanding uncertainty: The big risk test

... find it easier to assess the size of risks. Your understanding of risk Suppose that out of 100 people like you, 12 ... of Cambridge. David and his team run the Understanding uncertainty website, which informs the public about issues involving risk ...

Article - mf344 - 16 May 2012 - 11:06 - 0 comments

Understanding uncertainty

... David Spiegelhalter , Winton Professor for the Public Understanding of Risk, gives Plus his take on uncertainty. September 2007 What's the ...

Article - plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:48 - 0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: Breast screening, a statistical controversy

... about statistics, mathematical modelling, scientific uncertainty and risk communication. This is very topical: newspapers and the ... about Science , a UK charity trying to improve public understanding of science, have recently released a guide to screening . ...

Article - plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:43 - 0 comments