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Understanding uncertainty: Breast screening, a statistical controversy

... about statistics, mathematical modelling, scientific uncertainty and risk communication. This is very topical: newspapers and the ... about Science , a UK charity trying to improve public understanding of science, have recently released a guide to screening . ...

Article - plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:43 - 0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: 2845 ways of spinning risk

March 2009 This animation is from the Understanding Uncertainty website . This text is usually replaced by the Flash ...

Page - plusadmin - 30 Apr 2010 - 15:11 - 0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: A league table lottery

... instalment of David Spiegelhalter's regular column called Understanding uncertainty. League tables are controversial and for good reason. Few ...

Article - plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:47 - 2 comments

What is financial mathematics?

... he was interested in making good decisions in the face of uncertainty. Tim explores the development of this interface between abstract ... read more about probability and its development on the Understanding Uncertainty site , and the Plus article Measure for ...

Article - plusadmin - 19 May 2010 - 16:23 - 18 comments

The leaning tower of PISA?

... is a statistician and Winton Professor for the Public Understanding of Risk at the University of Cambridge. And since a lot of ... extent over-simplified, so they go on to check whether the uncertainty that arises from this is acceptable. But in this case that's ...

News - mf344 - 24 Jan 2014 - 12:50 - 0 comments

Imaging maths - Inside the Klein bottle

... about orientability of surfaces is one of the keys to understanding and classifying surfaces and manifolds in topology. A ... With three values, 81, the speed of light, and a secret "uncertainty" number, I can make this 6-lobed structure mathematically represent ...

Article - plusadmin - 7 Nov 2013 - 11:48 - 6 comments

Hubble's top five scientific achievements

... to within a factor of two. The main reason for this large uncertainty was the fact that the determination of distances in astronomy is ... the spot for more information). Consequently, a true understanding of dark energy will require a combination of observational ...

Article - plusadmin - 13 Apr 2011 - 17:38 - 1 comment

Influenza virus: it's all in the packaging!

... pandemic is unclear and an interesting current topic). Understanding packaging is key to understanding reassortment. Let me count ... segments. As a mathematician, I always found this uncertainty slightly puzzling, as the numbers immediately suggest random ...

News - plusadmin - 5 Mar 2014 - 14:42 - 0 comments

Teacher package: Statistics and probability theory

... games of chance, sports, and strange coincidences; Understanding life — This category explores how stats and probability are ... that they are cheating? Understanding uncertainty: how psychic was Paul? — England's performance in the 2010 ...

Packages - plusadmin - 20 Aug 2012 - 14:46 - 0 comments

Finding order in chaos

... nature, and attempts to make prediction in the presence of uncertainty. Chris Budd describes the search for pattern and order in chaos ... their future motions predicted. Crucial to this was the understanding that predictions could be made by using mathematics. This ...

Article - plusadmin - 11 Jul 2011 - 13:23 - 4 comments