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Understanding uncertainty: 2845 ways of spinning risk

March 2009 This animation is from the Understanding Uncertainty website . This text is usually replaced by the Flash ...

Page - plusadmin - 30 Apr 2010 - 15:11 - 0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: Breast screening, a statistical controversy

... about statistics, mathematical modelling, scientific uncertainty and risk communication. This is very topical: newspapers and the ... about Science , a UK charity trying to improve public understanding of science, have recently released a guide to screening . ...

Article - plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:43 - 0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: A league table lottery

... instalment of David Spiegelhalter's regular column called Understanding uncertainty. League tables are controversial and for good reason. Few ...

Article - plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:47 - 2 comments

Queen's Birthday Honours for David Spiegelhalter and Helen Mason

... — David Spiegelhalter is Winton Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk at the University of Cambridge, and has been knighted for ... risk'. He started the brilliant project Understanding Uncertainty , writes public articles, lectures to public and school audiences ...

Blog - jemh4 - 17 Jun 2014 - 16:28 - 0 comments

Schrödinger's equation — what is it?

... the work of many scientists, including the theoretical understanding provided by James Clerk Maxwell , we discovered that light ... nature of electrons (see the Plus article Quantum uncertainty ). One of the most famous demonstrations of wave-particle ...

Article - mf344 - 22 Oct 2012 - 13:31 - 3 comments

The logic of drug testing

... decisions. The following animation (from Understanding Uncertainty ) illustrates our example. For simplicity it looks at a ...

Article - mf344 - 17 Jan 2013 - 15:13 - 4 comments

Is time travel allowed?

... away. They are a consequence of the quantum mechanical uncertainty principle : if, at one moment of time, there are no fluctuations ... To learn the truth, we physicists must develop a deeper understanding of quantum theory in warped spacetime than we now have — i.e. a ...

News - plusadmin - 23 Oct 2012 - 15:14 - 12 comments

Do you know what's good for you? — The maths of infectious diseases

... of the mathematical developments that have improved our understanding and predictive ability. Read more... Swine flu uncertainty When a new infectious disease has broken out, how do you get ...

Packages - mf344 - 12 Jun 2014 - 15:55 - 0 comments

Imaging maths - Inside the Klein bottle

... about orientability of surfaces is one of the keys to understanding and classifying surfaces and manifolds in topology. A ... With three values, 81, the speed of light, and a secret "uncertainty" number, I can make this 6-lobed structure mathematically represent ...

Article - plusadmin - 18 Jul 2014 - 13:14 - 6 comments

Evaluating a medical treatment - how do you know it works?

... personal circumstances or lifestyle. Without more understanding of what was actually happening and without taking these factors ... intervals in David Spiegelhalter's Understanding uncertainty column, or in the Little handbook of statistical practice .) ...

News - plusadmin - 11 Jul 2011 - 18:46 - 1 comment