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Understanding uncertainty: The Premier League

... This is the second part of our new column on risk and uncertainty. David Spiegelhalter, Winton Professor for the Public Understanding of Risk at the University of Cambridge, continues examining ...

Article - plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:46 - 0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: The big risk test

... find it easier to assess the size of risks. Your understanding of risk Suppose that out of 100 people like you, 12 ... of Cambridge. David and his team run the Understanding uncertainty website, which informs the public about issues involving risk ...

Article - mf344 - 16 May 2012 - 11:06 - 0 comments

Understanding uncertainty

... David Spiegelhalter , Winton Professor for the Public Understanding of Risk, gives Plus his take on uncertainty. September 2007 What's the ...

Article - plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:48 - 0 comments

The best medicine?

... shows a 95% "confidence interval", which expresses the uncertainty about where the true risk lies. For most of the individual studies, ... a particular patient asking this question requires careful understanding of how individual characteristics help predict outcome. We really ...

Article - plusadmin - 1 Nov 2012 - 10:04 - 0 comments

Freedom and physics

... observation, and physical reality. Heisenberg's famous uncertainty principle states that certain physical features of a particle ... about free will might well lay outside the limits of our understanding, I mean, the question itself makes very little sense. I'll ...

Article - mf344 - 23 Oct 2012 - 14:10 - 2 comments

Editorial

... , individuals and organisations committed to the public understanding of mathematics, that enables us to bring you new stories from the ... advised to use a common sense approach to physics — the uncertainty principle doesn't apply to toilets. Mathematics has a more ...

Article - plusadmin - 23 Oct 2012 - 14:27 - 0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: Breast screening, a statistical controversy

... about statistics, mathematical modelling, scientific uncertainty and risk communication. This is very topical: newspapers and the ... about Science , a UK charity trying to improve public understanding of science, have recently released a guide to screening . ...

Article - plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:43 - 0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: A league table lottery

... instalment of David Spiegelhalter's regular column called Understanding uncertainty. League tables are controversial and for good reason. Few ...

Article - plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:47 - 2 comments

The Plus Olympic calendar: Friday 10th August

... a substitution in a football match? Understanding uncertainty: How psychic was Paul — How likely is it that Paul the octopus' ...

Blog - mf344 - 10 Aug 2012 - 07:59 - 0 comments

Teacher package: Mathematics in sport

... Isner-Mahut mega set at Wimbledon? Understanding uncertainty: How psychic was Paul — How likely is it that Paul the octopus' ...

Packages - mf344 - 17 Aug 2012 - 13:05 - 0 comments