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Building bridges from mathematics to the City

... cost of pensions might change in the future and how much uncertainty there was in those projections. The programme, says Cairns, gave ... "The real problem in the credit crisis was a lack of understanding and communication of assumptions and limitations of the models," ...

Article - mf344 - 19 Jul 2012 - 12:26 - 0 comments

'Quantum theory: A very short introduction'

... of discoveries in the 1920s – including Hiesenberg's uncertainty principle, the probabilistic nature of quantum theory and ... of the scientist, whose ambition is to gain the maximum understanding of what is happening in the physical world. To settle for less ...

Review - Rachel - 27 Jun 2012 - 14:36 - 0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: Visualising probabilities

... Napoleon's tragic campaign into Russia in 1812 (see the Understanding Uncertainty website for animated versions of the data) and Florence ...

Article - mf344 - 16 May 2012 - 11:06 - 0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: how psychic was Paul?

...   This article is adapted from material on the Understanding Uncertainty website .   England's performance in the World Cup ...

Article - mf344 - 16 May 2012 - 11:41 - 0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: A 113% chance of death?

... This article is adapted from material on the Understanding Uncertainty website . A recent study from Harvard reported that ...

Article - mf344 - 16 May 2012 - 11:05 - 0 comments

Understanding Uncertainty: Pure randomness in art

... This article is adapted from material on the Understanding Uncertainty website . This article is based on a talk I gave at the ...

Article - mf344 - 16 May 2012 - 11:37 - 0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: Microlives

... This article is adapted from material on the Understanding Uncertainty website . Speeding towards death. Acute risks, ...

Article - mf344 - 16 May 2012 - 11:05 - 2 comments

Understanding uncertainty: The maths of surprises

... David Spiegelhalter investigates in his regular column on uncertainty and risk. June 2008 This article is adapted from material on the Understanding Uncertainty website . A family has three children ...

Article - plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:46 - 0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: 2845 ways of spinning risk

... This article is adapted from material on the Understanding Uncertainty website . Back to the What's the best medicine ...

Article - plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:44 - 0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: What was the probability of Obama winning?

... article is adapted from material soon to appear on the Understanding Uncertainty website . On the face of it this seems an odd ...

Article - plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:45 - 0 comments