- Coincidence, correlation and chance
... pattern rather than randomness, certainty rather than uncertainty, existence rather than nonexistence, predator in the bushes rather ... is one way we're easily misled when it comes to our understanding of probability. The thing to remember is that rare things happen ...
Article - plusadmin - 18 May 2011 - 13:12 - 0 comments
- Hubble's top five scientific achievements
... to within a factor of two. The main reason for this large uncertainty was the fact that the determination of distances in astronomy is ... the spot for more information). Consequently, a true understanding of dark energy will require a combination of observational ...
Article - plusadmin - 13 Apr 2011 - 16:38 - 0 comments
- The Nature of Space and Time: An Evening of Speculation
... Institute. While we all have an intuitive understanding of space and time that is sufficient to get us through everyday ... assertions of quantum mechanics, Heisenberg's uncertainty principle , says that, at a tiny scale, it is impossible to ...
News - plusadmin - 7 Jul 2010 - 11:44 - 0 comments
- Making sense of election statistics
... a president David Spiegelhalter runs the Understanding Uncertainty website and has a column in Plus . Michael Blastland is ...
News - mf344 - 22 Jul 2010 - 10:02 - 0 comments
- Tying it all up
... the whole paraphernalia of modern technology relies on the understanding these two theories bring, they are mutually incompatible, because ... statements from quantum mechanics is the Heisenberg uncertainty principle . This is the principle that, at the very tiny (quantum) ...
Article - plusadmin - 30 Jun 2010 - 10:36 - 1 comment
- What can birds tell us about flying through ash clouds?
... concerned with how to make good decisions when faced with uncertainty. Now, there is a widely held view that rational people will always ... is a good thing and is a consequence of a mathematical understanding of the risks. Ignore the mathematics and airline executives ...
News - mf344 - 22 Jul 2010 - 09:53 - 0 comments
... David Spiegelhalter , Winton Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk at the University of Cambridge, has had a closer look at ... need to rigorously justify their claims and quantify the uncertainty involved in their models and conclusions. They can no longer pull ...
Article - plusadmin - 16 Jun 2010 - 11:56 - 0 comments
- From restaurants to climate change
... anything from investigating diners' tipping behaviour to understanding climate change and genetics. December ... is represented by the line, and the grey band indicates uncertainty about the line. Because size takes integer values, and we are ...
Article - plusadmin - 19 May 2010 - 16:01 - 0 comments
- Plus leaves the classroom
... the unwary — how to communicate and evaluate risk and uncertainty, how to explain seeming paradoxes, how to avoid the common pitfalls ... choice of where to have their treatment (which meant understanding the perverse incentives caused by performance monitoring and just ...
Article - plusadmin - 16 Jun 2010 - 14:40 - 0 comments
- 'Deciphering the cosmic number'
... in the human psyche". It's an individual's pleasure in understanding nature that allows these archetypes to emerge from the ... Kepler as a thinking type, seeking a mechanical understanding of the Universe, and Fludd as a feeling type with a desire for ... Jung found this idea mirrored in Heisenberg's uncertainty principle, which asserts that at a quantum level, the world is not ...
Review - plusadmin - 19 May 2010 - 15:37 - 0 comments