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Understanding uncertainty: Visualising probabilities
... of Napoleon's tragic campaign into Russia in 1812 (see the Understanding Uncertainty website for animated versions of the data) and Florence ...
Marianne  26 Jul 2018  04:48  0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: how psychic was Paul?
... This article is adapted from material on the Understanding Uncertainty website . England's performance in the World Cup last ...
Marianne  14 Jun 2018  15:11  0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: 2845 ways of spinning risk
... This article is adapted from material on the Understanding Uncertainty website . Back to the What's the best medicine ...
plusadmin  27 Jul 2018  04:53  2 comments

Understanding uncertainty: The Premier League
... are league tables in these cases, and can the inherent uncertainty be quantified? We'll investigate using the example of the Premier ... David Spiegelhalter is Winton Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk at the University of Cambridge. Mike Pearson ...
plusadmin  26 Jul 2018  16:51  0 comments

Understanding uncertainty
... information. Maths and statistics are powerful tools in understanding risk and uncertainty, so it's no surprise that David Spiegelhalter, the new Winton ...
plusadmin  26 Jul 2018  07:49  0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: Breast screening, a statistical controversy
... issues about statistics, mathematical modelling, scientific uncertainty and risk communication. This is very topical: newspapers and the ... Sense about Science , a UK charity trying to improve public understanding of science, have recently released a guide to screening . ...
plusadmin  27 Jul 2018  04:53  0 comments

Machine learning: Is it ethical?
... far from perfect, they do not come with any estimate of the uncertainty of their predictions. One of the uses of machine learning is ... mathematics to the real world and promoting the public understanding of mathematics. He has cowritten the popular mathematics ...
Marianne  9 Jan 2019  12:32  0 comments

Imaging maths  Inside the Klein bottle
... about orientability of surfaces is one of the keys to understanding and classifying surfaces and manifolds in topology. A ... With three values, 81, the speed of light, and a secret "uncertainty" number, I can make this 6lobed structure mathematically represent ...
plusadmin  9 Jan 2019  11:07  7 comments

Understanding uncertainty: A league table lottery
... instalment of David Spiegelhalter's regular column called Understanding uncertainty. League tables are controversial and for good reason. Few ...
plusadmin  26 Jul 2018  04:48  2 comments

Evaluating a medical treatment  how do you know it works?
... patient's personal circumstances or lifestyle. Without more understanding of what was actually happening and without taking these factors ... intervals in David Spiegelhalter's Understanding uncertainty column, or in the Little handbook of statistical practice .) ...
plusadmin  30 Nov 2018  16:56  1 comment