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Climate change: Does it all add up?
... to affect all of our lives over the next fifty years. The understanding and analysis of climate change is an area where mathematicians, ... measurements, there is a lot of statistical variation and uncertainty in the data that is being measured, so long term trends can be hard ...
mf344  26 Oct 2016  14:17  0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: 2845 ways of spinning risk
... This article is adapted from material on the Understanding Uncertainty website . Back to the What's the best medicine ...
plusadmin  17 Oct 2016  10:54  2 comments

Understanding uncertainty: A league table lottery
... instalment of David Spiegelhalter's regular column called Understanding uncertainty. League tables are controversial and for good reason. Few ...
plusadmin  17 Oct 2016  10:57  2 comments

Do you know what's good for you? — The maths of infectious diseases
... some of the mathematical developments that have improved our understanding and predictive ability. Read more... Swine flu uncertainty When a new infectious disease has broken out, how do you get ...
mf344  18 Oct 2016  09:23  0 comments

Do you know what's good for you?
... mathematical developments that have improved our understanding and predictive ability. ... Read more... Swine flu uncertainty — When a new infectious disease has broken out, how ...
mf344  18 Oct 2016  10:02  1 comment

Making sense of election statistics
... Approving a president David Spiegelhalter runs the Understanding Uncertainty website and has a column in Plus . Michael Blastland is ...
mf344  18 Oct 2016  09:58  0 comments

Births and deaths in fluid chaos
... range from the use of microfluids in nanotechnology, to understanding the flow of blood, the formation of tears in our eyes, ... progressively inaccurate as time passes. In fact, the uncertainty increases exponentially with time. This behaviour is complex, but ...
plusadmin  17 Oct 2016  12:32  0 comments

The best medicine?
... also shows a 95% "confidence interval", which expresses the uncertainty about where the true risk lies. For most of the individual studies, ... a particular patient asking this question requires careful understanding of how individual characteristics help predict outcome. We really ...
plusadmin  17 Oct 2016  11:07  0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: Visualising probabilities
... of Napoleon's tragic campaign into Russia in 1812 (see the Understanding Uncertainty website for animated versions of the data) and Florence ...
mf344  11 Oct 2016  16:13  0 comments

Schrödinger's equation — what is it?
... after the work of many scientists, including the theoretical understanding provided by James Clerk Maxwell , we discovered that light ... nature of electrons (see the Plus article Quantum uncertainty ). One of the most famous demonstrations of waveparticle ...
mf344  12 Oct 2016  15:48  7 comments