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The logic of drug testing
... decisions. The following animation (from Understanding Uncertainty ) illustrates our example. For simplicity it looks at a ...
mf344  29 Jul 2016  14:24  4 comments

The leaning tower of PISA?
... is a statistician and Winton Professor for the Public Understanding of Risk at the University of Cambridge. And since a lot of ... extent oversimplified, so they go on to check whether the uncertainty that arises from this is acceptable. But in this case that's ...
mf344  26 Sep 2016  14:56  0 comments

Births and deaths in fluid chaos
... range from the use of microfluids in nanotechnology, to understanding the flow of blood, the formation of tears in our eyes, ... progressively inaccurate as time passes. In fact, the uncertainty increases exponentially with time. This behaviour is complex, but ...
plusadmin  17 Oct 2016  12:32  0 comments

The best medicine?
... also shows a 95% "confidence interval", which expresses the uncertainty about where the true risk lies. For most of the individual studies, ... a particular patient asking this question requires careful understanding of how individual characteristics help predict outcome. We really ...
plusadmin  17 Oct 2016  11:07  0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: Football crazy
... This article is adapted from material on the Understanding Uncertainty website . Who gets the trophy? Image: Jameboy ...
plusadmin  16 May 2012  11:43  5 comments

Time to go retro
... crucial assumption in some fundamental results important to understanding what quantum mechanics tells us about the world. But is it an ... element already exists as the Heisenberg Uncertainty principle , which states that you cannot simultaneously know ...
Rachel  4 Oct 2016  14:35  0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: how psychic was Paul?
... This article is adapted from material on the Understanding Uncertainty website . England's performance in the World Cup last ...
mf344  16 May 2012  11:41  0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: How long will you live?
... This article is adapted from material on the Understanding Uncertainty website . None of us are going to last forever. Our ...
plusadmin  28 Apr 2015  15:24  6 comments

Understanding Uncertainty: Pure randomness in art
... This article is adapted from material on the Understanding Uncertainty website . This article is based on a talk I gave at the ...
mf344  25 Mar 2015  16:48  0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: A 113% chance of death?
... This article is adapted from material on the Understanding Uncertainty website . A recent study from Harvard reported that ...
mf344  16 May 2012  11:05  0 comments