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Understanding uncertainty: The maths of surprises

... David Spiegelhalter investigates in his regular column on uncertainty and risk. June 2008 This article is adapted from material on the Understanding Uncertainty website . A family has three children ...

Article - plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:46 - 0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: What was the probability of Obama winning?

... article is adapted from material soon to appear on the Understanding Uncertainty website . On the face of it this seems an odd ...

Article - plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:45 - 0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: ESP and Bayes

... This article has been adapted from material on the Understanding Uncertainty website . In the first part of this article we ...

Article - mf344 - 16 Oct 2012 - 11:37 - 1 comment

Understanding uncertainty: ESP and the significance of significance

... This article has been adapted from material on the Understanding Uncertainty website . Is there such a thing as extra-sensory ...

Article - mf344 - 13 Dec 2012 - 11:55 - 0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: The Premier League

... This is the second part of our new column on risk and uncertainty. David Spiegelhalter, Winton Professor for the Public Understanding of Risk at the University of Cambridge, continues examining ...

Article - plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:46 - 0 comments

Schrödinger's equation — what is it?

... the work of many scientists, including the theoretical understanding provided by James Clerk Maxwell , we discovered that light ... nature of electrons (see the Plus article Quantum uncertainty ). One of the most famous demonstrations of wave-particle ...

Article - mf344 - 28 Apr 2015 - 15:23 - 6 comments

Understanding uncertainty: The big risk test

... find it easier to assess the size of risks. Your understanding of risk Suppose that out of 100 people like you, 12 ... of Cambridge. David and his team run the Understanding uncertainty website, which informs the public about issues involving risk ...

Article - mf344 - 16 May 2012 - 11:06 - 0 comments

Is time travel allowed?

... away. They are a consequence of the quantum mechanical uncertainty principle : if, at one moment of time, there are no fluctuations ... To learn the truth, we physicists must develop a deeper understanding of quantum theory in warped spacetime than we now have — i.e. a ...

News - plusadmin - 18 May 2015 - 13:11 - 13 comments

Teacher package: Statistics and probability theory

... games of chance, sports, and strange coincidences; Understanding life — This category explores how stats and probability are ... that they are cheating? Understanding uncertainty: how psychic was Paul? — England's performance in the 2010 ...

Packages - plusadmin - 1 Dec 2014 - 12:24 - 0 comments

Understanding uncertainty

... David Spiegelhalter , Winton Professor for the Public Understanding of Risk, gives Plus his take on uncertainty. September 2007 What's the ...

Article - plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:48 - 0 comments