Search

Search results

Understanding uncertainty: The maths of surprises

... David Spiegelhalter investigates in his regular column on uncertainty and risk. June 2008 This article is adapted from material on the Understanding Uncertainty website . A family has three children ...

Article - plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:46 - 0 comments

Measuring catastrophic risk

... investigates. The notion of uncertainty In the early 19th century, the French mathematician ... epistemikos , meaning knowledge, stems from a lack of understanding of the true behaviour of a process. In catastrophe models, ...

Article - mf344 - 11 Jul 2011 - 14:32 - 1 comment

Understanding uncertainty: What was the probability of Obama winning?

... article is adapted from material soon to appear on the Understanding Uncertainty website . On the face of it this seems an odd ...

Article - plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:45 - 0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: ESP and Bayes

... This article has been adapted from material on the Understanding Uncertainty website . In the first part of this article we ...

Article - mf344 - 16 Oct 2012 - 11:37 - 1 comment

Understanding uncertainty: ESP and the significance of significance

... This article has been adapted from material on the Understanding Uncertainty website . Is there such a thing as extra-sensory ...

Article - mf344 - 13 Dec 2012 - 11:55 - 0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: The Premier League

... This is the second part of our new column on risk and uncertainty. David Spiegelhalter, Winton Professor for the Public Understanding of Risk at the University of Cambridge, continues examining ...

Article - plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:46 - 0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: The big risk test

... find it easier to assess the size of risks. Your understanding of risk Suppose that out of 100 people like you, 12 ... of Cambridge. David and his team run the Understanding uncertainty website, which informs the public about issues involving risk ...

Article - mf344 - 16 May 2012 - 11:06 - 0 comments

What is financial mathematics?

... he was interested in making good decisions in the face of uncertainty. Tim explores the development of this interface between abstract ... read more about probability and its development on the Understanding Uncertainty site , and the Plus article Measure for ...

Article - plusadmin - 12 Jun 2015 - 17:15 - 19 comments

Understanding uncertainty

... David Spiegelhalter , Winton Professor for the Public Understanding of Risk, gives Plus his take on uncertainty. September 2007 What's the ...

Article - plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:48 - 0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: 2845 ways of spinning risk

March 2009 This animation is from the Understanding Uncertainty website . This text is usually replaced by the Flash ...

Page - plusadmin - 30 Apr 2010 - 15:11 - 0 comments