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Queen's Birthday Honours for David Spiegelhalter and Helen Mason

... — David Spiegelhalter is Winton Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk at the University of Cambridge, and has been knighted for ... risk'. He started the brilliant project Understanding Uncertainty , writes public articles, lectures to public and school audiences ...

Blog - jemh4 - 17 Jun 2014 - 16:28 - 0 comments

Is time travel allowed?

... away. They are a consequence of the quantum mechanical uncertainty principle : if, at one moment of time, there are no fluctuations ... To learn the truth, we physicists must develop a deeper understanding of quantum theory in warped spacetime than we now have — i.e. a ...

News - plusadmin - 23 Oct 2012 - 15:14 - 12 comments

Understanding uncertainty: Visualising probabilities

... Napoleon's tragic campaign into Russia in 1812 (see the Understanding Uncertainty website for animated versions of the data) and Florence ...

Article - mf344 - 16 May 2012 - 11:06 - 0 comments

Do you know what's good for you? — The maths of infectious diseases

... of the mathematical developments that have improved our understanding and predictive ability. Read more... Swine flu uncertainty When a new infectious disease has broken out, how do you get ...

Packages - mf344 - 12 Jun 2014 - 15:55 - 0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: how psychic was Paul?

...   This article is adapted from material on the Understanding Uncertainty website .   England's performance in the World Cup ...

Article - mf344 - 16 May 2012 - 11:41 - 0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: A 113% chance of death?

... This article is adapted from material on the Understanding Uncertainty website . A recent study from Harvard reported that ...

Article - mf344 - 16 May 2012 - 11:05 - 0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: Microlives

... This article is adapted from material on the Understanding Uncertainty website . Speeding towards death. Acute risks, ...

Article - mf344 - 16 May 2012 - 11:05 - 2 comments

Evaluating a medical treatment - how do you know it works?

... personal circumstances or lifestyle. Without more understanding of what was actually happening and without taking these factors ... intervals in David Spiegelhalter's Understanding uncertainty column, or in the Little handbook of statistical practice .) ...

News - plusadmin - 11 Jul 2011 - 18:46 - 1 comment

Paul the psychic octopus is back!

... Paul's contribution to the 2010 World Cup in our article Understanding uncertainty: how psychic was Paul? . ...

Blog - Rachel - 17 Jun 2014 - 11:14 - 0 comments

Reconstructing the tree of life

... and instead return to our elegant theory of trees. Understanding evolutionary trees Figuring out who evolved from what and ... possible trees into a network is a way of coping with this uncertainty, so mathematicians are currently hard at work creating the ...

Article - plusadmin - 12 Jun 2014 - 14:24 - 0 comments