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Influenza virus: it's all in the packaging!

... pandemic is unclear and an interesting current topic). Understanding packaging is key to understanding reassortment. Let me count ... segments. As a mathematician, I always found this uncertainty slightly puzzling, as the numbers immediately suggest random ...

News - plusadmin - 12 Jun 2014 - 14:25 - 0 comments

What is financial mathematics?

... he was interested in making good decisions in the face of uncertainty. Tim explores the development of this interface between abstract ... read more about probability and its development on the Understanding Uncertainty site , and the Plus article Measure for ...

Article - plusadmin - 19 May 2010 - 16:23 - 19 comments

Evaluating a medical treatment - how do you know it works?

... personal circumstances or lifestyle. Without more understanding of what was actually happening and without taking these factors ... intervals in David Spiegelhalter's Understanding uncertainty column, or in the Little handbook of statistical practice .) ...

News - plusadmin - 11 Jul 2011 - 18:46 - 1 comment

Understanding uncertainty: How long will you live?

... This article is adapted from material on the Understanding Uncertainty website . None of us are going to last forever. Our ...

Article - plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:45 - 6 comments

Do you know what's good for you?

... mathematical developments that have improved our understanding and predictive ability. ... Read more... Swine flu uncertainty — When a new infectious disease has broken out, how ...

Packages - mf344 - 13 May 2014 - 14:38 - 1 comment

Hubble's top five scientific achievements

... to within a factor of two. The main reason for this large uncertainty was the fact that the determination of distances in astronomy is ... the spot for more information). Consequently, a true understanding of dark energy will require a combination of observational ...

Article - plusadmin - 13 Apr 2011 - 17:38 - 1 comment

The leaning tower of PISA?

... is a statistician and Winton Professor for the Public Understanding of Risk at the University of Cambridge. And since a lot of ... extent over-simplified, so they go on to check whether the uncertainty that arises from this is acceptable. But in this case that's ...

News - mf344 - 24 Jan 2014 - 12:50 - 0 comments

'An accidental statistician'

... surfaces , with Norman Hunter (1987). It expresses a key understanding behind statistical modelling — and it applies to broader ... Kevin is an occasional contributor to the Understanding Uncertainty website . ISBN:  ...

Review - mf344 - 14 Jan 2014 - 17:41 - 0 comments

The logic of drug testing

... decisions. The following animation (from Understanding Uncertainty ) illustrates our example. For simplicity it looks at a ...

Article - mf344 - 17 Jan 2013 - 15:13 - 4 comments

Understanding uncertainty: Football crazy

... This article is adapted from material on the Understanding Uncertainty website . Who gets the trophy? Image: Jameboy ...

Article - plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:43 - 4 comments