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Understanding uncertainty: A league table lottery
... instalment of David Spiegelhalter's regular column called Understanding uncertainty. League tables are controversial and for good reason. Few ...
plusadmin  17 Oct 2016  10:57  2 comments

Understanding uncertainty: The big risk test
... find it easier to assess the size of risks. Your understanding of risk Suppose that out of 100 people like you, 12 ... of Cambridge. David and his team run the Understanding uncertainty website, which informs the public about issues involving risk ...
Marianne  16 May 2012  11:06  0 comments

Understanding uncertainty
... information. Maths and statistics are powerful tools in understanding risk and uncertainty, so it's no surprise that David Spiegelhalter, the new Winton ...
plusadmin  16 May 2012  11:48  0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: 2845 ways of spinning risk
... March 2009 This animation is from the Understanding Uncertainty website . This text is usually replaced by the Flash ...
plusadmin  30 Apr 2010  15:11

A brief exploration of mathematical modelling
... In the first instance, models are used to extend scientific understanding. By modelling what is already known, some of what is currently ... of the models used at the time of the crash reduced all the uncertainty involved in calculating investment value to a single parameter. ...
Marianne  1 Nov 2017  16:01  0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: Breast screening, a statistical controversy
... issues about statistics, mathematical modelling, scientific uncertainty and risk communication. This is very topical: newspapers and the ... Sense about Science , a UK charity trying to improve public understanding of science, have recently released a guide to screening . ...
plusadmin  16 May 2012  11:43  0 comments

Influenza virus: it's all in the packaging!
... 1918 pandemic is unclear and an interesting current topic). Understanding packaging is key to understanding reassortment. Let me count ... different segments. As a mathematician, I always found this uncertainty slightly puzzling, as the numbers immediately suggest random ...
plusadmin  29 Sep 2017  08:54  0 comments

Editorial
... example NonEuclidean geometry and Indra's pearls and Understanding uncertainty: a league table lottery . And for those who want to interact with ...
plusadmin  2 Feb 2017  15:10

'The mathematics lover's companion'
... under one of three main categories: number, shape and uncertainty. There is also a preface that includes Scheinerman's suggestions on ... most mathematicians and people who already have a good understanding of mathematics have an edge here. If you fall into this category ...
Marianne  7 Aug 2017  17:21  0 comments

Teacher package: Mathematics in sport
... IsnerMahut mega set at Wimbledon? Understanding uncertainty: How psychic was Paul — How likely is it that Paul the octopus' ...
Marianne  15 Jul 2017  11:38  0 comments