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Understanding uncertainty: 2845 ways of spinning risk

... This article is adapted from material on the Understanding Uncertainty website . Back to the What's the best medicine ...

Article - plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:44 - 0 comments

Influenza virus: it's all in the packaging!

... pandemic is unclear and an interesting current topic). Understanding packaging is key to understanding reassortment. Let me count ... segments. As a mathematician, I always found this uncertainty slightly puzzling, as the numbers immediately suggest random ...

News - plusadmin - 12 Jun 2014 - 14:25 - 0 comments

Do you know what's good for you?

... mathematical developments that have improved our understanding and predictive ability. ... Read more... Swine flu uncertainty — When a new infectious disease has broken out, how ...

Packages - mf344 - 13 May 2014 - 14:38 - 1 comment

Career interview: Mathematical modelling consultant

... it — for example on a computer — and gain a deeper understanding of it, predict its future behaviour, or conduct experiments that ... Statistics is important here because there is a lot of uncertainty involved. You may know the exact physical and mechanical properties ...

Careers - plusadmin - 12 Jun 2014 - 15:07 - 0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: What was the probability of Obama winning?

... article is adapted from material soon to appear on the Understanding Uncertainty website . On the face of it this seems an odd ...

Article - plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:45 - 0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: The Premier League

... This is the second part of our new column on risk and uncertainty. David Spiegelhalter, Winton Professor for the Public Understanding of Risk at the University of Cambridge, continues examining ...

Article - plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:46 - 0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: The big risk test

... find it easier to assess the size of risks. Your understanding of risk Suppose that out of 100 people like you, 12 ... of Cambridge. David and his team run the Understanding uncertainty website, which informs the public about issues involving risk ...

Article - mf344 - 16 May 2012 - 11:06 - 0 comments

The logic of drug testing

... decisions. The following animation (from Understanding Uncertainty ) illustrates our example. For simplicity it looks at a ...

Article - mf344 - 17 Jan 2013 - 15:13 - 4 comments

Understanding uncertainty

... David Spiegelhalter , Winton Professor for the Public Understanding of Risk, gives Plus his take on uncertainty. September 2007 What's the ...

Article - plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:48 - 0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: Breast screening, a statistical controversy

... about statistics, mathematical modelling, scientific uncertainty and risk communication. This is very topical: newspapers and the ... about Science , a UK charity trying to improve public understanding of science, have recently released a guide to screening . ...

Article - plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:43 - 0 comments