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Understanding uncertainty: 2845 ways of spinning risk
... March 2009 This animation is from the Understanding Uncertainty website . This text is usually replaced by the Flash ...
plusadmin  30 Apr 2010  15:11

Understanding uncertainty: Breast screening, a statistical controversy
... issues about statistics, mathematical modelling, scientific uncertainty and risk communication. This is very topical: newspapers and the ... Sense about Science , a UK charity trying to improve public understanding of science, have recently released a guide to screening . ...
plusadmin  16 May 2012  11:43  0 comments

Reconstructing the tree of life
... here and instead return to our elegant theory of trees. Understanding evolutionary trees Figuring out who evolved from what and ... possible trees into a network is a way of coping with this uncertainty, so mathematicians are currently hard at work creating the ...
plusadmin  11 Jul 2016  13:46  2 comments

Evaluating a medical treatment  how do you know it works?
... patient's personal circumstances or lifestyle. Without more understanding of what was actually happening and without taking these factors ... intervals in David Spiegelhalter's Understanding uncertainty column, or in the Little handbook of statistical practice .) ...
plusadmin  7 Jun 2016  09:46  1 comment

Big Data
... and wellunderstood, with known levels of uncertainty. That's because they come from physical processes that, on the whole, scientists understand well. The real challenges of understanding and dealing with Big Data come from the biological sciences, the ... are now finding significant applications in our understanding of Big Data. A key example of this is the mathematics of ...
mf344  30 Jun 2016  12:57  0 comments

Teacher package: Statistics and probability theory
... games of chance, sports, and strange coincidences; Understanding life — This category explores how stats and probability are ... that they are cheating? Understanding uncertainty: how psychic was Paul? — England's performance in the 2010 ...
plusadmin  1 Dec 2014  11:24  0 comments

Measuring catastrophic risk
... By Shane Latchman The notion of uncertainty In the early 19th century, the French mathematician ... epistemikos , meaning knowledge, stems from a lack of understanding of the true behaviour of a process. In catastrophe models, ...
mf344  11 Jul 2011  14:32  1 comment

News from the world of maths: Shine a light on dodgy stats
... As David Spiegelhalter, Professor for the Public Understanding of Risk at the University of Cambridge, writes on his website Understanding Uncertainty , the studies suffer from three major flaws: poor data, ...
plusadmin  19 Aug 2010  19:24  0 comments

News from the world of maths: Not so fantasy football
... consulting a statistician than a football expert. On his Understanding Uncertainty website selfconfessed football unenthusiast David Spiegelhalter ...
plusadmin  6 Apr 2010  14:44  0 comments

News from the world of maths: We're doomed, say scientists
... killers like stroke and heart disease. In his Understanding Uncertainty blog David Spiegelhalter traces the story back to a paper in ...
plusadmin  19 Aug 2010  19:24  0 comments