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The leaning tower of PISA?

... is a statistician and Winton Professor for the Public Understanding of Risk at the University of Cambridge. And since a lot of ... extent over-simplified, so they go on to check whether the uncertainty that arises from this is acceptable. But in this case that's ...

News - mf344 - 24 Jan 2014 - 12:50 - 0 comments

The logic of drug testing

... decisions. The following animation (from Understanding Uncertainty ) illustrates our example. For simplicity it looks at a ...

Article - mf344 - 17 Jan 2013 - 15:13 - 4 comments

Understanding uncertainty: Football crazy

... This article is adapted from material on the Understanding Uncertainty website . Who gets the trophy? Image: Jameboy ...

Article - plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:43 - 4 comments

The Plus sports page: Power trip

... in the journal Physica A ; The Plus article Understanding uncertainty: The Premier League finds more randomness in sport; There ...

News - plusadmin - 23 May 2013 - 12:34 - 1 comment

The philosophy of applied mathematics

... of applicability, but it has been argued that this uncertainty over foundations has influenced the very practice of applying ... would have been on (a) survival, and (b) mating. While understanding cause and effect, and being able to count distinct objects, and ...

Article - mf344 - 24 Jun 2013 - 14:58 - 30 comments

'Superposition'

... illustrates a central difficulty with our quest for understanding. To be successful it necessitates abstraction, beautifully ... together the whole text. It reminded us of Heisenberg's uncertainty principle: you can never have all the information you want, ...

Review - Rachel - 1 Jun 2013 - 12:54 - 0 comments

How to advise politicians

... time and effort, or are they down to deeper gaps in or understanding or to processes we just can't pin down with better accuracy. ... to talk in terms of certainty. For more on risk and uncertainty see our understanding uncertainty section. ...

Blog - mf344 - 17 Feb 2013 - 20:31 - 0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: ESP and the significance of significance

... This article has been adapted from material on the Understanding Uncertainty website . Is there such a thing as extra-sensory ...

Article - mf344 - 13 Dec 2012 - 11:55 - 0 comments

Births and deaths in fluid chaos

... range from the use of microfluids in nanotechnology, to understanding the flow of blood, the formation of tears in our eyes, ... progressively inaccurate as time passes. In fact, the uncertainty increases exponentially with time. This behaviour is complex, but ...

Article - plusadmin - 21 Dec 2012 - 12:08 - 0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: ESP and Bayes

... This article has been adapted from material on the Understanding Uncertainty website . In the first part of this article we ...

Article - mf344 - 16 Oct 2012 - 11:37 - 1 comment