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Influenza virus: it's all in the packaging!
... 1918 pandemic is unclear and an interesting current topic). Understanding packaging is key to understanding reassortment. Let me count ... different segments. As a mathematician, I always found this uncertainty slightly puzzling, as the numbers immediately suggest random ...
plusadmin  26 Jul 2018  07:49  0 comments

Hubble's top five scientific achievements
... to within a factor of two. The main reason for this large uncertainty was the fact that the determination of distances in astronomy is ... the spot for more information). Consequently, a true understanding of dark energy will require a combination of observational ...
plusadmin  27 Jul 2018  01:52  3 comments

What can birds tell us about flying through ash clouds?
... concerned with how to make good decisions when faced with uncertainty. Now, there is a widely held view that rational people will always ... This is a good thing and is a consequence of a mathematical understanding of the risks. Ignore the mathematics and airline executives ...
Marianne  27 Jul 2018  01:52  0 comments

Career interview: Mathematical modelling consultant
... it — for example on a computer — and gain a deeper understanding of it, predict its future behaviour, or conduct experiments that ... Statistics is important here because there is a lot of uncertainty involved. You may know the exact physical and mechanical properties ...
plusadmin  27 Jul 2018  07:53  0 comments

Freedom and physics
... observation, and physical reality. Heisenberg's famous uncertainty principle states that certain physical features of a particle ... about free will might well lay outside the limits of our understanding, I mean, the question itself makes very little sense. I'll ...
Marianne  26 Jul 2018  01:47  3 comments

Coincidence, correlation and chance
... pattern rather than randomness, certainty rather than uncertainty, existence rather than nonexistence, predator in the bushes rather ... is one way we're easily misled when it comes to our understanding of probability. The thing to remember is that rare things happen ...
plusadmin  26 Jul 2018  04:48  0 comments

Plus leaves the classroom
... the unwary — how to communicate and evaluate risk and uncertainty, how to explain seeming paradoxes, how to avoid the common pitfalls ... choice of where to have their treatment (which meant understanding the perverse incentives caused by performance monitoring and just ...
plusadmin  26 Jul 2018  16:51  0 comments

'Deciphering the cosmic number'
... in the human psyche". It's an individual's pleasure in understanding nature that allows these archetypes to emerge from the ... clairvoyance. Jung found this idea mirrored in Heisenberg's uncertainty principle, which asserts that at a quantum level, the world is not ...
plusadmin  26 Jul 2018  07:49  0 comments

The best medicine?
... also shows a 95% "confidence interval", which expresses the uncertainty about where the true risk lies. For most of the individual studies, ... a particular patient asking this question requires careful understanding of how individual characteristics help predict outcome. We really ...
plusadmin  25 Jul 2018  22:47  0 comments

Nobel mathematics
... a controlled process called programmed cell death . Understanding this process has great biological and medical importance  ... work on how people make decisions in the face of uncertainty and risk. The other winner, Vernon Smith of George Mason ...
plusadmin  26 Jul 2018  01:47  0 comments