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  1. Measuring catastrophic risk

    ... By  Shane Latchman The notion of uncertainty In the early 19th century, the French mathematician ... epistemikos , meaning knowledge, stems from a lack of understanding of the true behaviour of a process. In catastrophe models, ...

    mf344 - 11 Jul 2011 - 14:32 - 1 comment

  2. News from the world of maths: Not so fantasy football

    ... consulting a statistician than a football expert. On his Understanding Uncertainty website self-confessed football un-enthusiast David Spiegelhalter ...

    plusadmin - 6 Apr 2010 - 14:44 - 0 comments

  3. Celebrate chance, coincidence and unlikelihood this Friday – Huntrodd's Day!

    ... David Spiegelhalter OBE , Winton Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk and friend of Plus , was surprised. So surprised that ... coincidence in Spiegelhalter's Plus column or the Understanding Uncertainty site. ...

    Rachel - 29 Sep 2014 - 15:09 - 0 comments

  4. News from the world of maths: We're doomed, say scientists

    ... killers like stroke and heart disease. In his Understanding Uncertainty blog David Spiegelhalter traces the story back to a paper in ...

    plusadmin - 19 Aug 2010 - 19:24 - 0 comments

  5. The logic of drug testing

    ... decisions. The following animation (from Understanding Uncertainty ) illustrates our example. For simplicity it looks at a ...

    mf344 - 17 Jan 2013 - 14:13 - 4 comments

  6. Quantum uncertainty

    ... an enormous impact on our everyday lives. It is crucial to understanding how many devices work: the transistors in our radios, the lasers ... energy levels. It is possible to do this calculation without understanding what the physical meaning of the wave function Psi is. Indeed, it ...

    plusadmin - 12 Jul 2011 - 15:42 - 0 comments

  7. Plus Advent Calendar Door #2: A normal life

    ... at Plus and is responsible for the excellent website Understanding Uncertainty , as well as many other activities. Michael, journalist, author ...

    Rachel - 2 Dec 2014 - 10:23 - 0 comments

  8. Editorial

    ... example Non-Euclidean geometry and Indra's pearls and Understanding uncertainty: a league table lottery . And for those who want to interact with ...

    plusadmin - 17 Jun 2010 - 11:56

  9. 'An accidental statistician'

    ... surfaces , with Norman Hunter (1987). It expresses a key understanding behind statistical modelling — and it applies to broader ... Kevin is an occasional contributor to the Understanding Uncertainty website . ISBN:  978-1118400883 ...

    mf344 - 20 Apr 2015 - 14:58 - 1 comment

  10. Queen's Birthday Honours for David Spiegelhalter and Helen Mason

    ... — David Spiegelhalter is Winton Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk at the University of Cambridge, and has been knighted for ... risk'. He started the brilliant project Understanding Uncertainty , writes public articles, lectures to public and school audiences ...

    jemh4 - 17 Jun 2014 - 16:28 - 0 comments