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Understanding uncertainty: Visualising probabilities

... Napoleon's tragic campaign into Russia in 1812 (see the Understanding Uncertainty website for animated versions of the data) and Florence ...

Article - mf344 - 16 May 2012 - 10:06 - 0 comments

Do you know what's good for you? — The maths of infectious diseases

... of the mathematical developments that have improved our understanding and predictive ability. Read more... Swine flu uncertainty When a new infectious disease has broken out, how do you get ...

Packages - mf344 - 12 Jun 2014 - 14:55 - 0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: how psychic was Paul?

...   This article is adapted from material on the Understanding Uncertainty website .   England's performance in the World Cup ...

Article - mf344 - 16 May 2012 - 10:41 - 0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: A 113% chance of death?

... This article is adapted from material on the Understanding Uncertainty website . A recent study from Harvard reported that ...

Article - mf344 - 16 May 2012 - 10:05 - 0 comments

Evaluating a medical treatment - how do you know it works?

... personal circumstances or lifestyle. Without more understanding of what was actually happening and without taking these factors ... intervals in David Spiegelhalter's Understanding uncertainty column, or in the Little handbook of statistical practice .) ...

News - plusadmin - 11 Jul 2011 - 17:46 - 1 comment

Understanding uncertainty: Microlives

... This article is adapted from material on the Understanding Uncertainty website . Speeding towards death. Acute risks, ...

Article - mf344 - 16 May 2012 - 10:05 - 2 comments

Paul the psychic octopus is back!

... Paul's contribution to the 2010 World Cup in our article Understanding uncertainty: how psychic was Paul? . ...

Blog - Rachel - 17 Jun 2014 - 10:14 - 0 comments

Reconstructing the tree of life

... and instead return to our elegant theory of trees. Understanding evolutionary trees Figuring out who evolved from what and ... possible trees into a network is a way of coping with this uncertainty, so mathematicians are currently hard at work creating the ...

Article - plusadmin - 12 Jun 2014 - 13:24 - 0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: ESP and Bayes

... This article has been adapted from material on the Understanding Uncertainty website . In the first part of this article we ...

Article - mf344 - 16 Oct 2012 - 10:37 - 1 comment

Understanding uncertainty: ESP and the significance of significance

... This article has been adapted from material on the Understanding Uncertainty website . Is there such a thing as extra-sensory ...

Article - mf344 - 13 Dec 2012 - 10:55 - 0 comments