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Measuring catastrophic risk
... By Shane Latchman The notion of uncertainty In the early 19th century, the French mathematician ... epistemikos , meaning knowledge, stems from a lack of understanding of the true behaviour of a process. In catastrophe models, ...
mf344  11 Jul 2011  14:32  1 comment

News from the world of maths: Not so fantasy football
... consulting a statistician than a football expert. On his Understanding Uncertainty website selfconfessed football unenthusiast David Spiegelhalter ...
plusadmin  6 Apr 2010  14:44  0 comments

What is financial mathematics?
... I was interested in making good decisions in the face of uncertainty. Mathematicians have been interested in the topic of ... can read more about probability and its development on the Understanding Uncertainty site , and the Plus article Measure for ...
plusadmin  12 Jun 2015  17:15  21 comments

News from the world of maths: We're doomed, say scientists
... killers like stroke and heart disease. In his Understanding Uncertainty blog David Spiegelhalter traces the story back to a paper in ...
plusadmin  19 Aug 2010  19:24  0 comments

Celebrate chance, coincidence and unlikelihood this Friday – Huntrodd's Day!
... David Spiegelhalter OBE , Winton Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk and friend of Plus , was surprised. So surprised that ... coincidence in Spiegelhalter's Plus column or the Understanding Uncertainty site. ...
Rachel  29 Sep 2014  15:09  0 comments

Quantum uncertainty
... an enormous impact on our everyday lives. It is crucial to understanding how many devices work: the transistors in our radios, the lasers ... energy levels. It is possible to do this calculation without understanding what the physical meaning of the wave function Psi is. Indeed, it ...
plusadmin  12 Jul 2011  15:42  0 comments

Editorial
... example NonEuclidean geometry and Indra's pearls and Understanding uncertainty: a league table lottery . And for those who want to interact with ...
plusadmin  17 Jun 2010  11:56

Plus Advent Calendar Door #2: A normal life
... at Plus and is responsible for the excellent website Understanding Uncertainty , as well as many other activities. Michael, journalist, author ...
Rachel  2 Dec 2014  10:23  0 comments

'An accidental statistician'
... surfaces , with Norman Hunter (1987). It expresses a key understanding behind statistical modelling — and it applies to broader ... Kevin is an occasional contributor to the Understanding Uncertainty website . ISBN: 9781118400883 ...
mf344  20 Apr 2015  14:58  1 comment

What are the odds?
... includes Plus ) and Winton Programme for the Public Understanding of Risk at the University of Cambridge, is addressing this ... Understanding of Risk and author of the Understanding uncertainty column on Plus . "The use of technology and handson ...
plusadmin  11 Jul 2011  18:50  0 comments