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Measuring catastrophic risk
... By Shane Latchman The notion of uncertainty In the early 19th century, the French mathematician ... epistemikos , meaning knowledge, stems from a lack of understanding of the true behaviour of a process. In catastrophe models, ...
Marianne  11 Jul 2011  14:32  1 comment

News from the world of maths: Shine a light on dodgy stats
... As David Spiegelhalter, Professor for the Public Understanding of Risk at the University of Cambridge, writes on his website Understanding Uncertainty , the studies suffer from three major flaws: poor data, ...
plusadmin  19 Aug 2010  19:24  0 comments

Do you know what's good for you?
... mathematical developments that have improved our understanding and predictive ability. ... Read more... Swine flu uncertainty — When a new infectious disease has broken out, how ...
Marianne  1 Apr 2017  14:03  1 comment

News from the world of maths: Not so fantasy football
... consulting a statistician than a football expert. On his Understanding Uncertainty website selfconfessed football unenthusiast David Spiegelhalter ...
plusadmin  6 Apr 2010  14:44  0 comments

News from the world of maths: We're doomed, say scientists
... killers like stroke and heart disease. In his Understanding Uncertainty blog David Spiegelhalter traces the story back to a paper in ...
plusadmin  19 Aug 2010  19:24  0 comments

What is financial mathematics?
... I was interested in making good decisions in the face of uncertainty. Mathematicians have been interested in the topic of ... can read more about probability and its development on the Understanding Uncertainty site , and the Plus article Measure for ...
plusadmin  2 Feb 2017  15:57  23 comments

Quantum uncertainty
... an enormous impact on our everyday lives. It is crucial to understanding how many devices work: the transistors in our radios, the lasers ... energy levels. It is possible to do this calculation without understanding what the physical meaning of the wave function Psi is. Indeed, it ...
plusadmin  12 Jul 2011  15:42  0 comments

Do you know what's good for you? — The maths of infectious diseases
... some of the mathematical developments that have improved our understanding and predictive ability. Read more... Swine flu uncertainty When a new infectious disease has broken out, how do you get ...
Marianne  18 Oct 2016  09:23  0 comments

Editorial
... Advances in theoretical physics ; The mathematical understanding of chaos. You can find out more about the history of ... A famous consequence of waveparticle duality is the uncertainty principle , which states that you can never ever measure both ...
plusadmin  1 Nov 2016  16:12

The leaning tower of PISA?
... is a statistician and Winton Professor for the Public Understanding of Risk at the University of Cambridge. And since a lot of ... extent oversimplified, so they go on to check whether the uncertainty that arises from this is acceptable. But in this case that's ...
Marianne  26 Sep 2016  14:56  0 comments