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  1. Understanding uncertainty

    ... information. Maths and statistics are powerful tools in understanding risk and uncertainty, so it's no surprise that David Spiegelhalter, the new Winton ...

    plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:48 - 0 comments

  2. Big Data

    ... and well-understood, with known levels of uncertainty. That's because they come from physical processes that, on the whole, scientists understand well. The real challenges of understanding and dealing with Big Data come from the biological sciences, the ... are now finding significant applications in our understanding of Big Data. A key example of this is the mathematics of ...

    mf344 - 30 Jun 2016 - 12:57 - 0 comments

  3. Evaluating a medical treatment - how do you know it works?

    ... patient's personal circumstances or lifestyle. Without more understanding of what was actually happening and without taking these factors ... intervals in David Spiegelhalter's Understanding uncertainty column, or in the Little handbook of statistical practice .) ...

    plusadmin - 7 Jun 2016 - 09:46 - 1 comment

  4. Understanding uncertainty: 2845 ways of spinning risk

    ... March 2009 This animation is from the Understanding Uncertainty website . This text is usually replaced by the Flash ...

    plusadmin - 30 Apr 2010 - 15:11

  5. Understanding uncertainty: Breast screening, a statistical controversy

    ... issues about statistics, mathematical modelling, scientific uncertainty and risk communication. This is very topical: newspapers and the ... Sense about Science , a UK charity trying to improve public understanding of science, have recently released a guide to screening . ...

    plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:43 - 0 comments

  6. Teacher package: Statistics and probability theory

    ... games of chance, sports, and strange coincidences; Understanding life — This category explores how stats and probability are ... that they are cheating? Understanding uncertainty: how psychic was Paul? — England's performance in the 2010 ...

    plusadmin - 1 Dec 2014 - 11:24 - 0 comments

  7. Measuring catastrophic risk

    ... By  Shane Latchman The notion of uncertainty In the early 19th century, the French mathematician ... epistemikos , meaning knowledge, stems from a lack of understanding of the true behaviour of a process. In catastrophe models, ...

    mf344 - 11 Jul 2011 - 14:32 - 1 comment

  8. News from the world of maths: Shine a light on dodgy stats

    ... As David Spiegelhalter, Professor for the Public Understanding of Risk at the University of Cambridge, writes on his website Understanding Uncertainty , the studies suffer from three major flaws: poor data, ...

    plusadmin - 19 Aug 2010 - 19:24 - 0 comments

  9. News from the world of maths: Not so fantasy football

    ... consulting a statistician than a football expert. On his Understanding Uncertainty website self-confessed football un-enthusiast David Spiegelhalter ...

    plusadmin - 6 Apr 2010 - 14:44 - 0 comments

  10. Reality's neverending story

    ... believes that this question could bring us closer to understanding one of the deepest mysteries in physics: How our perceived ... be. If she locates its position precisely, Heisenberg's uncertainty principle mandates that its momentum will then be unknowable. The ...

    Rachel - 31 Dec 2015 - 15:06 - 0 comments