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  1. Nobel mathematics

    ... a controlled process called programmed cell death . Understanding this process has great biological and medical importance - ... work on how people make decisions in the face of uncertainty and risk. The other winner, Vernon Smith of George Mason ...

    plusadmin - 26 Jul 2018 - 01:47 - 0 comments

  2. The best medicine?

    ... also shows a 95% "confidence interval", which expresses the uncertainty about where the true risk lies. For most of the individual studies, ... a particular patient asking this question requires careful understanding of how individual characteristics help predict outcome. We really ...

    plusadmin - 25 Jul 2018 - 22:47 - 0 comments

  3. Climate change: Does it all add up?

    ... to affect all of our lives over the next fifty years. The understanding and analysis of climate change is an area where mathematicians, ... measurements, there is a lot of statistical variation and uncertainty in the data that is being measured, so long term trends can be hard ...

    Marianne - 18 Jul 2018 - 16:36 - 5 comments

  4. Understanding uncertainty: how psychic was Paul?

    ...   This article is adapted from material on the Understanding Uncertainty website .   England's performance in the World Cup last ...

    Marianne - 14 Jun 2018 - 15:11 - 0 comments

  5. Bizarre conclusion from alcohol study

    ... heavy drinking. The confidence intervals [a measure of the uncertainty involved as indicated by the grey area around the curve] are very ... David Spiegelhalter is Winton Professor for the Public Understanding of Risk in the Statistical Laboratory, Centre for Mathematical ...

    Marianne - 9 Mar 2018 - 13:05 - 2 comments

  6. The philosophy of applied mathematics

    ... question of applicability, but it has been argued that this uncertainty over foundations has influenced the very practice of applying ... would have been on (a) survival, and (b) mating. While understanding cause and effect, and being able to count distinct objects, and ...

    Marianne - 19 Feb 2018 - 09:32 - 30 comments

  7. Big Data

    ... and well-understood, with known levels of uncertainty. That's because they come from physical processes that, on the whole, scientists understand well. The real challenges of understanding and dealing with Big Data come from the biological sciences, the ... are now finding significant applications in our understanding of Big Data. A key example of this is the mathematics of ...

    Marianne - 12 Dec 2017 - 14:03 - 0 comments

  8. A brief exploration of mathematical modelling

    ... In the first instance, models are used to extend scientific understanding. By modelling what is already known, some of what is currently ... of the models used at the time of the crash reduced all the uncertainty involved in calculating investment value to a single parameter. ...

    Marianne - 1 Nov 2017 - 16:01 - 0 comments

  9. The logic of drug testing

    ... decisions. The following animation (from Understanding Uncertainty ) illustrates our example. For simplicity it looks at a ...

    Marianne - 9 Aug 2017 - 12:24 - 4 comments

  10. 'The mathematics lover's companion'

    ... under one of three main categories: number, shape and uncertainty. There is also a preface that includes Scheinerman's suggestions on ... most mathematicians and people who already have a good understanding of mathematics have an edge here. If you fall into this category ...

    Marianne - 7 Aug 2017 - 17:21 - 0 comments