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Understanding uncertainty: The maths of surprises

... David Spiegelhalter investigates in his regular column on uncertainty and risk. June 2008 This article is adapted from material on the Understanding Uncertainty website . A family has three children ...

Article - plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:46 - 0 comments

The logic of drug testing

... decisions. The following animation (from Understanding Uncertainty ) illustrates our example. For simplicity it looks at a ...

Article - mf344 - 17 Jan 2013 - 15:13 - 4 comments

Understanding uncertainty: What was the probability of Obama winning?

... article is adapted from material soon to appear on the Understanding Uncertainty website . On the face of it this seems an odd ...

Article - plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:45 - 0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: The Premier League

... This is the second part of our new column on risk and uncertainty. David Spiegelhalter, Winton Professor for the Public Understanding of Risk at the University of Cambridge, continues examining ...

Article - plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:46 - 0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: The big risk test

... find it easier to assess the size of risks. Your understanding of risk Suppose that out of 100 people like you, 12 ... of Cambridge. David and his team run the Understanding uncertainty website, which informs the public about issues involving risk ...

Article - mf344 - 16 May 2012 - 11:06 - 0 comments

Understanding uncertainty

... David Spiegelhalter , Winton Professor for the Public Understanding of Risk, gives Plus his take on uncertainty. September 2007 What's the ...

Article - plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:48 - 0 comments

The leaning tower of PISA?

... is a statistician and Winton Professor for the Public Understanding of Risk at the University of Cambridge. And since a lot of ... extent over-simplified, so they go on to check whether the uncertainty that arises from this is acceptable. But in this case that's ...

News - mf344 - 24 Jan 2014 - 12:50 - 0 comments

Hubble's top five scientific achievements

... to within a factor of two. The main reason for this large uncertainty was the fact that the determination of distances in astronomy is ... the spot for more information). Consequently, a true understanding of dark energy will require a combination of observational ...

Article - plusadmin - 13 Apr 2011 - 17:38 - 1 comment

Understanding uncertainty: Breast screening, a statistical controversy

... about statistics, mathematical modelling, scientific uncertainty and risk communication. This is very topical: newspapers and the ... about Science , a UK charity trying to improve public understanding of science, have recently released a guide to screening . ...

Article - plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:43 - 0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: 2845 ways of spinning risk

March 2009 This animation is from the Understanding Uncertainty website . This text is usually replaced by the Flash ...

Page - plusadmin - 30 Apr 2010 - 15:11 - 0 comments