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  1. Understanding uncertainty: The big risk test

    ... find it easier to assess the size of risks. Your understanding of risk Suppose that out of 100 people like you, 12 ... of Cambridge. David and his team run the Understanding uncertainty website, which informs the public about issues involving risk ...

    Marianne - 16 May 2012 - 11:06 - 0 comments

  2. Understanding uncertainty

    ... information. Maths and statistics are powerful tools in understanding risk and uncertainty, so it's no surprise that David Spiegelhalter, the new Winton ...

    plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:48 - 0 comments

  3. Understanding uncertainty: 2845 ways of spinning risk

    ... March 2009 This animation is from the Understanding Uncertainty website . This text is usually replaced by the Flash ...

    plusadmin - 30 Apr 2010 - 15:11

  4. Understanding uncertainty: Breast screening, a statistical controversy

    ... issues about statistics, mathematical modelling, scientific uncertainty and risk communication. This is very topical: newspapers and the ... Sense about Science , a UK charity trying to improve public understanding of science, have recently released a guide to screening . ...

    plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:43 - 0 comments

  5. Reality's neverending story

    ... believes that this question could bring us closer to understanding one of the deepest mysteries in physics: How our perceived ... be. If she locates its position precisely, Heisenberg's uncertainty principle mandates that its momentum will then be unknowable. The ...

    Rachel - 31 Dec 2015 - 15:06 - 0 comments

  6. Measuring catastrophic risk

    ... By  Shane Latchman The notion of uncertainty In the early 19th century, the French mathematician ... epistemikos , meaning knowledge, stems from a lack of understanding of the true behaviour of a process. In catastrophe models, ...

    Marianne - 11 Jul 2011 - 14:32 - 1 comment

  7. News from the world of maths: Shine a light on dodgy stats

    ... As David Spiegelhalter, Professor for the Public Understanding of Risk at the University of Cambridge, writes on his website Understanding Uncertainty , the studies suffer from three major flaws: poor data, ...

    plusadmin - 19 Aug 2010 - 19:24 - 0 comments

  8. News from the world of maths: Not so fantasy football

    ... consulting a statistician than a football expert. On his Understanding Uncertainty website self-confessed football un-enthusiast David Spiegelhalter ...

    plusadmin - 6 Apr 2010 - 14:44 - 0 comments

  9. Celebrate chance, coincidence and unlikelihood this Friday – Huntrodd's Day!

    ... David Spiegelhalter OBE , Winton Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk and friend of Plus , was surprised. So surprised that ... coincidence in Spiegelhalter's Plus column or the Understanding Uncertainty site. ...

    Rachel - 29 Sep 2014 - 15:09 - 0 comments

  10. News from the world of maths: We're doomed, say scientists

    ... killers like stroke and heart disease. In his Understanding Uncertainty blog David Spiegelhalter traces the story back to a paper in ...

    plusadmin - 19 Aug 2010 - 19:24 - 0 comments