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Understanding uncertainty: ESP and Bayes
... This article has been adapted from material on the Understanding Uncertainty website . In the first part of this article we ...
Marianne  16 Oct 2012  11:37  1 comment

Understanding uncertainty: ESP and the significance of significance
... This article has been adapted from material on the Understanding Uncertainty website . Is there such a thing as extrasensory ...
Marianne  13 Dec 2012  10:55  0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: The Premier League
... are league tables in these cases, and can the inherent uncertainty be quantified? We'll investigate using the example of the Premier ... David Spiegelhalter is Winton Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk at the University of Cambridge. Mike Pearson ...
plusadmin  16 May 2012  11:46  0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: The big risk test
... find it easier to assess the size of risks. Your understanding of risk Suppose that out of 100 people like you, 12 ... of Cambridge. David and his team run the Understanding uncertainty website, which informs the public about issues involving risk ...
Marianne  16 May 2012  11:06  0 comments

Understanding uncertainty
... information. Maths and statistics are powerful tools in understanding risk and uncertainty, so it's no surprise that David Spiegelhalter, the new Winton ...
plusadmin  16 May 2012  11:48  0 comments

Paying the price
... to take the more scientific approach needed for a deeper understanding of financial risks, when they were so easily bewitched by ... lenders to sell the loans on for a fixed price (removing the uncertainty) to investment banks, who repackaged them as mortgage backed ...
plusadmin  12 Jun 2015  17:16  0 comments

Understanding uncertainty: 2845 ways of spinning risk
... March 2009 This animation is from the Understanding Uncertainty website . This text is usually replaced by the Flash ...
plusadmin  30 Apr 2010  15:11

Building bridges from mathematics to the City
... the cost of pensions might change in the future and how much uncertainty there was in those projections. The programme, says Cairns, gave ... "The real problem in the credit crisis was a lack of understanding and communication of assumptions and limitations of the models," ...
Marianne  12 Jun 2015  17:15  0 comments

The physics of elementary particles: Part I
... there are elements in the chemical table! It has taken an understanding of mathematical symmetry combined with experiments into ... their range to very short distances (a consequence of the uncertainty principle of quantum mechanics). In collisions at relatively low ...
Marianne  3 Jun 2015  12:32  2 comments

Understanding uncertainty: Breast screening, a statistical controversy
... issues about statistics, mathematical modelling, scientific uncertainty and risk communication. This is very topical: newspapers and the ... Sense about Science , a UK charity trying to improve public understanding of science, have recently released a guide to screening . ...
plusadmin  16 May 2012  11:43  0 comments