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  1. Understanding uncertainty: The maths of surprises

    ... This article is adapted from material on the Understanding Uncertainty website . A family has three children all of whom were ...

    plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:46 - 0 comments

  2. Understanding uncertainty: What was the probability of Obama winning?

    ... article is adapted from material soon to appear on the Understanding Uncertainty website . On the face of it this seems an odd ...

    plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:45 - 0 comments

  3. Understanding uncertainty: The Premier League

    ... are league tables in these cases, and can the inherent uncertainty be quantified? We'll investigate using the example of the Premier ... David Spiegelhalter is Winton Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk at the University of Cambridge. Mike Pearson ...

    plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:46 - 0 comments

  4. Understanding uncertainty: The big risk test

    ... find it easier to assess the size of risks. Your understanding of risk Suppose that out of 100 people like you, 12 ... of Cambridge. David and his team run the Understanding uncertainty website, which informs the public about issues involving risk ...

    Marianne - 16 May 2012 - 11:06 - 0 comments

  5. Understanding uncertainty

    ... information. Maths and statistics are powerful tools in understanding risk and uncertainty, so it's no surprise that David Spiegelhalter, the new Winton ...

    plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:48 - 0 comments

  6. Understanding uncertainty: Breast screening, a statistical controversy

    ... issues about statistics, mathematical modelling, scientific uncertainty and risk communication. This is very topical: newspapers and the ... Sense about Science , a UK charity trying to improve public understanding of science, have recently released a guide to screening . ...

    plusadmin - 16 May 2012 - 11:43 - 0 comments

  7. Measuring catastrophic risk

    ... By  Shane Latchman The notion of uncertainty In the early 19th century, the French mathematician ... epistemikos , meaning knowledge, stems from a lack of understanding of the true behaviour of a process. In catastrophe models, ...

    Marianne - 11 Jul 2011 - 14:32 - 1 comment

  8. Quantum uncertainty

    ... an enormous impact on our everyday lives. It is crucial to understanding how many devices work: the transistors in our radios, the lasers ... energy levels. It is possible to do this calculation without understanding what the physical meaning of the wave function Psi is. Indeed, it ...

    plusadmin - 12 Jul 2011 - 15:42 - 0 comments

  9. What are the odds?

    ... includes Plus ) and Winton Programme for the Public Understanding of Risk at the University of Cambridge, is addressing this ... Understanding of Risk and author of the Understanding uncertainty column on Plus . "The use of technology and hands-on ...

    plusadmin - 11 Jul 2011 - 18:50 - 0 comments

  10. Editorial

    ... kind of material that's likely to come up in this issue's Understanding Uncertainty column and some recent news stories . The language of ...

    plusadmin - 11 Jul 2011 - 13:05