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  1. How to advise politicians

    ... more time and effort, or are they down to deeper gaps in or understanding or to processes we just can't pin down with better accuracy. ... to talk in terms of certainty. For more on risk and uncertainty see our understanding uncertainty section. ...

    mf344 - 17 Feb 2013 - 19:31 - 0 comments

  2. Measuring catastrophic risk

    ... By  Shane Latchman The notion of uncertainty In the early 19th century, the French mathematician ... epistemikos , meaning knowledge, stems from a lack of understanding of the true behaviour of a process. In catastrophe models, ...

    mf344 - 11 Jul 2011 - 14:32 - 1 comment

  3. News from the world of maths: Shine a light on dodgy stats

    ... As David Spiegelhalter, Professor for the Public Understanding of Risk at the University of Cambridge, writes on his website Understanding Uncertainty , the studies suffer from three major flaws: poor data, ...

    plusadmin - 19 Aug 2010 - 19:24 - 0 comments

  4. Quantum uncertainty

    ... an enormous impact on our everyday lives. It is crucial to understanding how many devices work: the transistors in our radios, the lasers ... energy levels. It is possible to do this calculation without understanding what the physical meaning of the wave function Psi is. Indeed, it ...

    plusadmin - 12 Jul 2011 - 15:42 - 0 comments

  5. News from the world of maths: Not so fantasy football

    ... consulting a statistician than a football expert. On his Understanding Uncertainty website self-confessed football un-enthusiast David Spiegelhalter ...

    plusadmin - 6 Apr 2010 - 14:44 - 0 comments

  6. News from the world of maths: We're doomed, say scientists

    ... killers like stroke and heart disease. In his Understanding Uncertainty blog David Spiegelhalter traces the story back to a paper in ...

    plusadmin - 19 Aug 2010 - 19:24 - 0 comments

  7. What are the odds?

    ... includes Plus ) and Winton Programme for the Public Understanding of Risk at the University of Cambridge, is addressing this ... Understanding of Risk and author of the Understanding uncertainty column on Plus . "The use of technology and hands-on ...

    plusadmin - 11 Jul 2011 - 18:50 - 0 comments

  8. The Plus Olympic calendar: Friday 10th August

    ... a substitution in a football match? Understanding uncertainty: How psychic was Paul — How likely is it that Paul the octopus' ...

    mf344 - 10 Aug 2012 - 07:59 - 0 comments

  9. News from the world of maths: When science goes bad...

    ... on the night. The lecture is brought to you by Understanding Uncertainty , the Winton programme for the public understanding of risk at ...

    plusadmin - 19 Aug 2010 - 19:25 - 0 comments

  10. Freedom and physics

    ... observation, and physical reality. Heisenberg's famous uncertainty principle states that certain physical features of a particle ... about free will might well lay outside the limits of our understanding, I mean, the question itself makes very little sense. I'll ...

    mf344 - 23 Oct 2012 - 14:10 - 3 comments