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I would like to know if the model discussed in this article forecasts a global economic recession or depression as a result of the lockdowns? And if so, how long for? And also what is the cost attributed this economic downturn? The future is always unknown so I do not see how these things could be accurately incorporated into any model. The very premise of weighing up the risk of locking down against that of not locking down using a model seems impossible.

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