If you've flipped heads 10 times what's the next flip most likely to be?  Bayes' theorem has the answer, not just for the coin, but for the pursuit of science generally.

Trying to make a prediction about the world based on dodgy data? Then data assimilation has the answer!

The Abel Prize 2024 has been awarded to Michel Talagrand for ground breaking contributions to probability theory and functional analysis.

Find out why the formula we use to work out conditional probabilities is true!

A game you're almost certain to lose...

It's so ubiquitous it's normal!

How long do you have to wait for more than one thing to happen?

They are incredibly useful, but what exactly are they?

How long do you have to wait for something to happen?

What's the chance that something happens?

Measuring your chance of success.

Markov chains are exceptionally useful tools for calculating probabilities, and they might increase your chance of getting to the beach!