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March 2010
Tags

bayes theorem

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Last October, two mathematicians won £1m when it was revealed that they were the first to solve the Eternity jigsaw puzzle. It had taken them six months and a generous helping of mathematical analysis. Mark Wainwright meets the pair and finds out how they did it.

Tags: computer search : tiling : probability : eternity game : plane geometry : bayes theorem


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Yes, you were right to wish you were in the other lane during this morning's commute! Nick Bostrom tells why we're usually caught in the slow lane.

Tags: bayes theorem : conditional probability : diffusion : equilibrium : data sampling : estimation : observation selection effect : thermodynamics : anthropic principle


Tags: bayes theorem : probability distribution : data analysis : data handling


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In 1999 solicitor Sally Clark was found guilty of murdering her two baby sons. Highly flawed statistical arguments may have been crucial in securing her conviction. As her second appeal approaches, Plus looks at the case and finds out how courts deal with statistics.

Tags: bayes theorem : conditional probability


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The three door problem has become a staple mathematical mindbender, but even if you know the answer, do you really understand it? Phil Wilson lets his imagination run riot in this intergalactic application of Bayes' Theorem.

Tags: bayes theorem : conditional probability : three door problem


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New technology has provided us with some amazing images - satellite images, medical images, even images beamed back from Mars. Julian Stander tells us about the increasing role of statistics in interpreting them.

Tags: mathematical modelling : bayes theorem : Image analysis


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What's the risk of passive smoking? Or climate change? How big is the terrorist threat? And should we trust league tables? These issues concern all of us, but it's not always easy to make sense of the barrage of media information. David Spiegelhalter, Winton Professor for the Public Understanding of Risk, gives Plus his take on uncertainty.

Tags: bayes theorem : risk analysis : public understanding of mathematics : mathematics in the media : medical statistics : Medicine : uncertainty : Bayesian model


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A new Bayesian network helps predict the severity of the disease

Tags: bayes theorem : Medicine : bayesian network


Tags: probability : bayes theorem : conditional probability