Articles

Understanding uncertainty: The maths of surprises

You meet an old friend on holiday, you find your colleague shares your birthday, you win the lottery. Exactly how rare are these rare events? David Spiegelhalter investigates in his regular column on uncertainty and risk.
Andrew Wiles
Fermat's last theorem and Andrew WilesNeil Pieprzak tells the fascinating story of Andrew Wiles who, with intense devotion and in secret, proved a deceptively simple-looking conjecture that had defeated mathematicians for almost 400 years.
Editorial
  • I need maths like a carburettor recalibration

  • The 118 188 challenge
If we all go for the blondeJosé-Manuel Rey revisits a scene of the film A beautiful Mind.
Maths on a planePhil Trinh discovers how maths helps solve the mysteries of flight and love.
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Beyond MeasureConversations across science and art
Maths and climate change: the melting ArcticThe Arctic ice cap is melting fast and the consequences are grim. Mathematical modelling is key to predicting how much longer the ice will be around and assessing the impact of an ice free Arctic on the rest of the planet. Plus spoke to Peter Wadhams from the Polar Ocean Physics Group at the University of Cambridge to get a glimpse of the group's work.
Outer space: How to rig an electionIt's easier than you think
Blowin' in the wind: solution
Plus Magazine
Understanding uncertainty: The Premier League

This is the second part of our new column on risk and uncertainty. David Spiegelhalter, Winton Professor for the Public Understanding of Risk at the University of Cambridge, continues examining league tables using the Premier League as an example. Find out just how much — or how little — these simple rankings can tell you.
Editorial
  • The league table lottery
  • Plus and presidents