A hint for Two Tribes

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A hint for Two Tribes


Under the suggested new rule, team B wins if either \noindent (i) A scores 0 or 1; the total chance of this is qn+(1qn)qn=(2qn)qn, or if (ii) A scores some m2, and then team B scores at least (m1). The collective chance of this is (1qn)mqn(1qn1)m1. Overall, Pr(B) is the sum of all these quantities. That is Pr(B)=(2qn)qn+m=2(1qn)mqn(1qn1)m1. Notice that we can write the infinite sum in this expression as S=m=2(1qn)mqn(1qn1)m1=qn(1qn)m=2(1qn)m1(1qn1)m1=qn(1qn)m=1((1qn)(1qn1))m. You can now use the fact that m=1xm=11x1 if |x|1 to evaluate S. Then you can work out Pr(B)=(2qn)qn+S, which after some simplification turns out to be Pr(B)=q(1+qn1q2n1)1+qqn.

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