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Do you know what's good for you? — The maths of infectious diseases

Infectious diseases hardly ever disappear from the headlines — swine flu is only the last in a long list containing SARS, bird flu, HIV, and childhood diseases like mumps, measles and rubella. If it's not the disease itself that hits the news, then it's the vaccines with their potential side effects. It can be hard to tell the difference between scare mongering and responsible reporting, because media coverage rarely provides a look behind the scenes. So how do scientists reach the conclusions they do?
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Understanding uncertainty: The Premier League

This is the second part of our new column on risk and uncertainty. David Spiegelhalter, Winton Professor for the Public Understanding of Risk at the University of Cambridge, continues examining league tables using the Premier League as an example. Find out just how much — or how little — these…
football
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Understanding uncertainty: Football crazy

On May 22nd 2009 the English Premier league had one more match day ahead. Taking up a challenge from the BBC radio, David Spiegelhalter and Yin-Lam Ng used statistics to predict the outcome of the last matches — and they were 90% correct. Find out how they did it.
news

Squashing the curve?

A study into Covid-19 suggests that flattening the curve will take longer and harder measures than previously hoped.