Content about “
probability

Article
dice

Stochastic spread

When a new infectious disease enters a population everything depends on who catches it — superspreaders or people with few contacts who don't pass it on.  We investigate the stochastic nature of the early stages of an outbreak.

Article
measuring tape

Maths in a minute: Measure

Learn how lengths, areas, and volumes generalise to the concept of measure, and how this relates to integration and probability.

Article
coin

Heads, Bayes wins!

If you've flipped heads 10 times what's the next flip most likely to be?  Bayes' theorem has the answer, not just for the coin, but for the pursuit of science generally.